Monday, May 5, 2025

Cognitive bias examples

 A "cognitive bias" is a systematic error in thinking that ruins decision-making.

https://x.com/thewisementor/status/1919375213482881427

Wise Mentor | Leadership

thewisementor

Published: May 5, 2025
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A "cognitive bias" is a systematic error in thinking that ruins decision-making. The 12 most powerful cognitive biases I've found: - Thread -

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1. Parkinson's Law: work expands to fill the time given. When we have more time, we tend to procrastinate and become inefficient. A good reminder to track your tasks duration and energy level.

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2. Goodhart's Law: When a measure becomes a goal, it stops being a good measure. I.g: Exams and standard admission shifted the focus of education. It's no longer about the students, but about grades and pay.

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3. The Curse of Knowledge: Experts assume everyone knows what they know. But they struggle to teach or lead effectively for those still learning. Simplicity is an art.

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4. The Bandwagon Effect: We humans are social creatures, which has its benefits. But there's a downside too... We often follow the crowd without thinking, just because everyone else is doing it. Beware of the Bandwagon Effect, it's like "groupthink" and can be risky.

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5. Egocentric Bias: We tend to think more highly of ourselves than we should. In group activities, we overestimate our contributions compared to others.

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6. Cynicism "Cynical people may seem smarter, but research suggests they're actually less intelligent. Deep cynicism is a defense mechanism (may results in neuroticism), not a sign of true intelligent. Moderate dose advised.

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7. Skinner's Law: • When procrastinating, you have 2 choices: 1. Make not doing it more painful than doing it. 2. Make doing it more enjoyable than not doing it.

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8. Hofstadter's Law: Projects always take longer and cost more than you expect, even when you consider Hofstadter's Law. Double the time, triple the cost—despite your best calculations.

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9. Elon's Law: Beat Hofstadter's Law with an insanely ambitious deadline. Even if it takes 3x longer, you're still ahead of the game. Elon Musk missing his super deadlines is a feature, not a bug.

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10. Loss Aversion Discovered by scientists Tversky and Kahneman, it reveals that the pain of losing is stronger than the pleasure of winning. As a result, humans will go to greater lengths to avoid losses than to pursue gains.

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Hitchen's Razor: Claims without evidence can't be verified. When in doubt, clarify and ask for proof.

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11. The Discomfort Zone Razor: Embrace discomfort for growth. Seek comfort and for stagnation. 1000 uncomfortable hours > 10,000 comfortable hours.

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12. Occam's Razor: • Simple assumptions are often right. • Don't overcomplicate things with too many assumptions.

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