Wednesday, December 31, 2025
The Tocqueville Paradox and other mental models
Tuesday, December 30, 2025
Human hardware and software
Saturday, December 27, 2025
Cognitive biases graphics
https://x.com/GeniusGTX/status/2004140759273164952
https://x-threadreader.com/thread/2004140759273164952.html
Yesterday, 3M people found my weird obsession with cognitive biases.
A "cognitive bias" is a systematic error in thinking that destroys decision-making.
7 more of the most powerful (and dangerous) cognitive biases I've found: đŸ§µ
1. Confirmation Bias:

1. Confirmation Bias:
We search for information that supports our beliefs and reject anything that contradicts them.
If you hate a specific politician, you only read news that makes them look bad.
You don't want the truth; you want to be right.

P.S. If you want my complete collection of the best, most useful mental models, cognitive biases, and mental fallacies, grab a free copy here:
Now back to the thread. đŸ‘‡
2. The Paradox of Choice:
Having too many options leads to anxiety and analysis paralysis, not freedom.
A menu with 50 pages makes it impossible to order dinner. A Netflix queue with 1,000 movies makes you watch nothing.
Constraints create freedom.

3. The Pygmalion Effect:
Higher expectations lead to an increase in performance.
If a leader believes a team member is a "top performer," that person subconsciously improves to meet that belief.
Treat people like they are capable, and they will become capable.

4. The Ikea Effect:
We overvalue things simply because we helped create them.
That wobbly table you built yourself feels more valuable to you than a perfect one from a factory.
Effort creates attachment, not necessarily quality.

5. Outcome Bias:
We judge a decision based on its result rather than the quality of the decision at the time.
You drive home drunk and arrive safely, so you assume it was a "good" decision. It wasn't.
Don't mistake luck for skill.

6. Hindsight Bias:
The tendency to see events as predictable after they have already happened.
"I knew the market would crash today!" (No, you didn't, or you would be a billionaire).
Everything looks obvious in the rearview mirror.

7. Status Quo Bias:
We prefer things to stay the same by doing nothing or sticking with a previous decision.
You stay in a subscription, a job, or a relationship simply because the effort of changing it feels too "risky."
The comfort zone is where dreams go to die.

This thread matters now more than ever:
We are drowning in information but starving for wisdom.
In an age of infinite leverage and AI algorithms, clear thinking is the ultimate unfair advantage.
If you don't master your mind, someone else will.

I’ve curated the 100+ most high-leverage cognitive biases and mental models into a single database.
Stop making the same expensive mistakes.
Start thinking like the top 1%.
Grab your free copy here: ❤️
Thank you for reading this thread.
What’s your ONE big takeaway from this story?
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Tuesday, December 23, 2025
Deep Empathy
Subjective reality
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